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Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Market icon

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Clayton Johnson 23.5%

Shane Parton 19.7%

Doug Mason 8.3%

Conrad Ukropina 1.4%

Polymarket

$222,905 Vol.

Clayton Johnson 23.5%

Shane Parton 19.7%

Doug Mason 8.3%

Conrad Ukropina 1.4%

Polymarket

$222,905 Vol.

Clayton Johnson

$4,672 Vol.

23%

Shane Parton

$47,081 Vol.

20%

Doug Mason

$6,414 Vol.

8%

Conrad Ukropina

$38,404 Vol.

1%

Lew Evans

$11,711 Vol.

1%

Richard Van De Water

$25,792 Vol.

1%

Ronn Perez

$20,655 Vol.

1%

Michael Baba

$19,845 Vol.

1%

Brandon Perce

$4,727 Vol.

1%

Marcus Richardson

$1,791 Vol.

1%

Rod Strozier

$2,136 Vol.

1%

Casey Hux

$9,713 Vol.

1%

Christopher Wood

$1,803 Vol.

1%

Josh Harward

$1,731 Vol.

1%

Aaron Kahng

$1,656 Vol.

1%

Malik Evans

$1,857 Vol.

1%

Johnnie LaRossa

$7,969 Vol.

1%

Brad Ledford

$2,009 Vol.

1%

Kevin Montero

$1,796 Vol.

1%

Mike Turitto

$2,618 Vol.

<1%

Trenten Merrill

$6,614 Vol.

<1%

Matt Carroll

$1,910 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus positions Matt Carroll as the clear frontrunner for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner at 40.4% implied probability, driven by his standout pre-filming appeal as a mature, relatable 43-year-old real estate broker from Indiana, who garnered "final rose energy" buzz in fan breakdowns and social media edits following the February contestant reveal. Clayton Johnson trails at 23.7% thanks to his celebrity tie as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, boosting visibility, while Shane Parton holds 19.6% on youthful charm as a 28-year-old private wealth planner. With no episodes aired after ABC canceled Taylor Frankie Paul's season amid March 19 domestic violence video leaks, odds reflect spoiler skepticism—Reality Steve names Doug Mason as the filmed victor—highlighting prediction market wisdom amid high uncertainty and pending resolution on the official outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$222,905
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus positions Matt Carroll as the clear frontrunner for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner at 40.4% implied probability, driven by his standout pre-filming appeal as a mature, relatable 43-year-old real estate broker from Indiana, who garnered "final rose energy" buzz in fan breakdowns and social media edits following the February contestant reveal. Clayton Johnson trails at 23.7% thanks to his celebrity tie as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, boosting visibility, while Shane Parton holds 19.6% on youthful charm as a 28-year-old private wealth planner. With no episodes aired after ABC canceled Taylor Frankie Paul's season amid March 19 domestic violence video leaks, odds reflect spoiler skepticism—Reality Steve names Doug Mason as the filmed victor—highlighting prediction market wisdom amid high uncertainty and pending resolution on the official outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$222,905
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Carroll" at 40%, followed by "Clayton Johnson" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" has generated $222.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is "Matt Carroll" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clayton Johnson" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.