Russia predictions & odds

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Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

67%

United Russia (ER)

$5M Vol.

$51.7K today

$345K Liq.

136

Ends in 5 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10%

$4M Vol.

$269K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

85%

No meeting by June 30

$5M Vol.

$205K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

21%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$105K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

92%

Decrease

$129K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

82%

$37.2K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

64%

$8.2K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

United Russia (ER)

$921K Vol.

$221K Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

8%

April 30

$153K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$77.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

5%

$207K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 3 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

18%

June 30

$113K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

15

Ends in 3 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

15%

$547K Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$637K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

17

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

12%

$87.2K Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

20%

$81.6K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

4%

June 30

$389K Vol.

$57.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$277K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

15

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

2%

April 30

$722K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

11

Ends in 16 days

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

7%

$188K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Russia.

Polymarket currently hosts 42 active markets for Russia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Russia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.