Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 5% likely, driven by stalled trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks since February's Geneva sessions ended abruptly amid incompatible demands—Russia insisting on Ukrainian territorial concessions and demilitarization, which Zelenskyy rejects in favor of full troop withdrawal. Zelenskyy's recent April 9 offer for a neutral-site summit in the Middle East, Europe, or U.S. elicited no positive Kremlin response, while mutual accusations over Orthodox Easter ceasefire violations (April 10-12) underscore persistent military tensions rather than de-escalation. Ongoing Russian spring offensives and diplomatic distractions like the Iran conflict further diminish prospects, though a sudden U.S.-brokered breakthrough could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$206,711 Vol.
$206,711 Vol.
$206,711 Vol.
$206,711 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 5% likely, driven by stalled trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks since February's Geneva sessions ended abruptly amid incompatible demands—Russia insisting on Ukrainian territorial concessions and demilitarization, which Zelenskyy rejects in favor of full troop withdrawal. Zelenskyy's recent April 9 offer for a neutral-site summit in the Middle East, Europe, or U.S. elicited no positive Kremlin response, while mutual accusations over Orthodox Easter ceasefire violations (April 10-12) underscore persistent military tensions rather than de-escalation. Ongoing Russian spring offensives and diplomatic distractions like the Iran conflict further diminish prospects, though a sudden U.S.-brokered breakthrough could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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