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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$86,705 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$86,705 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finland

$17,854 Vol.

80%

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Israel

$10,718 Vol.

60%

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Greece

$8,569 Vol.

58%

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Denmark

$6,264 Vol.

56%

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Australia

$2,059 Vol.

49%

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France

$4,897 Vol.

56%

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Ukraine

$2,140 Vol.

36%

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Sweden

$13,925 Vol.

37%

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Romania

$1,596 Vol.

31%

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Italy

$2,242 Vol.

28%

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Czechia

$235 Vol.

17%

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Latvia

$33 Vol.

10%

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Bulgaria

$125 Vol.

15%

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Cyprus

$4,995 Vol.

15%

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Moldova

$180 Vol.

14%

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Lithuania

$470 Vol.

11%

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United Kingdom

$281 Vol.

10%

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Luxembourg

$135 Vol.

10%

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Serbia

$236 Vol.

9%

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Austria

$367 Vol.

9%

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Montenegro

$127 Vol.

9%

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Switzerland

$432 Vol.

9%

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San Marino

$26 Vol.

8%

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Azerbaijan

$451 Vol.

8%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

7%

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Croatia

$292 Vol.

7%

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Norway

$1,346 Vol.

7%

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Armenia

$591 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$1,085 Vol.

6%

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Poland

$55 Vol.

9%

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Malta

$3,607 Vol.

12%

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Belgium

$552 Vol.

4%

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Albania

$372 Vol.

7%

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Georgia

$231 Vol.

12%

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Estonia

$220 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts Eurovision 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle May 12-16 after Austria's 2025 win with JJ's "Wasted Love," with all 35 entries now confirmed following a flurry of late-March national finals like Sweden's Felicia ("My System") and San Marino's Senhit feat. Boy George ("Superstar"). Trader consensus favors strong vocal ballads with staging punch, boosted by the April 11 Amsterdam Eurovision in Concert pre-party where acts like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), France's Monroe ("Regarde!"), and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") elevated frontrunner status through live prowess. Boycotts by Netherlands, Spain, and others over Israel intensify competition, pitting jury-friendly entries against televote darlings like Noam Bettan's "Michelle." Vienna rehearsals and semi-final qualifiers loom as key momentum shifters.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$86,705
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts Eurovision 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle May 12-16 after Austria's 2025 win with JJ's "Wasted Love," with all 35 entries now confirmed following a flurry of late-March national finals like Sweden's Felicia ("My System") and San Marino's Senhit feat. Boy George ("Superstar"). Trader consensus favors strong vocal ballads with staging punch, boosted by the April 11 Amsterdam Eurovision in Concert pre-party where acts like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), France's Monroe ("Regarde!"), and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") elevated frontrunner status through live prowess. Boycotts by Netherlands, Spain, and others over Israel intensify competition, pitting jury-friendly entries against televote darlings like Noam Bettan's "Michelle." Vienna rehearsals and semi-final qualifiers loom as key momentum shifters.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$86,705
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

18%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

73%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

90%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 80%, followed by "Israel" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $86.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.