Elon predictions & odds

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Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

28%

$32.2K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

<1%

$83.6K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

$3M Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

80

Ends in 3 months

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

76%

$436K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Elon Musk Net Worth on April 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on April 30?

16%

630-640b

$47.1K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

3%

$81.2K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

38%

$95.6K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

16

Ends in 9 months

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Elon Bull Run Parlay

16%

$9.4K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

7%

$13.4K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

33%

$3.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

18%

$5.8K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

7%

$8.6K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

16%

$7.1K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Another Elon baby by June 30?

14%

$48.3K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

12

Ends in 3 months

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

46%

300-319

$10M Vol.

$4M today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in about 23 hours

Elon Musk # tweets April 11 - April 13, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 11 - April 13, 2026?

100%

115-139

$4M Vol.

$2M today

$576K Liq.

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

14%

1240-1279

$7M Vol.

$2M today

$504K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

20%

320-339

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$931K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Elon Musk # tweets April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 14 - April 21, 2026?

17%

260-279

$2M Vol.

$627K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Elon Musk # tweets April 13 - April 15, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 13 - April 15, 2026?

39%

65-89

$211K Vol.

$131K today

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elon.

Polymarket currently hosts 187 active markets for Elon that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 46% chance to 300-319. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elon predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.