Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around $630-650 billion for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, reflecting competitive dynamics driven by Tesla's recent stock slide from $480 to $355 amid EV market headwinds, offsetting SpaceX's $1.25 trillion valuation boost from its February xAI acquisition. Musk's ~15% Tesla stake, comprising over half his fortune, amplifies volatility, while private SpaceX holdings introduce valuation uncertainty despite tender offers adding $16 billion last week. Elon Musk dismissed $2 trillion SpaceX IPO rumors as "BS" on April 3, cooling hype. Key swing factors include Tesla's late-April Q1 earnings and delivery figures versus Starship progress, with no dominant frontrunner as traders price in stabilization over surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated640-650b 19%
630-640b 16%
<600b 13%
620-630b 12%
$44,355 Vol.
$44,355 Vol.
<600b
13%
600-610b
7%
610-620b
12%
620-630b
12%
630-640b
16%
640-650b
19%
650-660b
12%
660-670b
7%
670b+
10%
640-650b 19%
630-640b 16%
<600b 13%
620-630b 12%
$44,355 Vol.
$44,355 Vol.
<600b
13%
600-610b
7%
610-620b
12%
620-630b
12%
630-640b
16%
640-650b
19%
650-660b
12%
660-670b
7%
670b+
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around $630-650 billion for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, reflecting competitive dynamics driven by Tesla's recent stock slide from $480 to $355 amid EV market headwinds, offsetting SpaceX's $1.25 trillion valuation boost from its February xAI acquisition. Musk's ~15% Tesla stake, comprising over half his fortune, amplifies volatility, while private SpaceX holdings introduce valuation uncertainty despite tender offers adding $16 billion last week. Elon Musk dismissed $2 trillion SpaceX IPO rumors as "BS" on April 3, cooling hype. Key swing factors include Tesla's late-April Q1 earnings and delivery figures versus Starship progress, with no dominant frontrunner as traders price in stabilization over surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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