Economic Policy predictions & odds

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Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$79M Vol.

$3M today

$3M Liq.

7

Ends in 15 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

92%

No change

$7M Vol.

$523K today

$899K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

42%

0 (0 bps)

$19M Vol.

$240K today

$1M Liq.

54

Ends in 9 months

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

91%

No change

$486K Vol.

$71.4K today

$48.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

37%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$63.4K today

$316K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

85%

No change

$618K Vol.

$54.7K today

$81.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

84%

No change

$4M Vol.

$365K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

95%

No change

$421K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

24%

1.5–2.0%

$300K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

92%

Decrease

$129K Vol.

$60.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

60%

1

$37.2K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

32%

$1M Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

58

Ends in 10 months

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

88%

No change

$44.4K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$515K Vol.

$80.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

2%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

37

Ends in about 1 month

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

16%

$874K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

91%

Decrease

$253K Vol.

$60.7K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

48%

No change

$30.4K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

68%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$226K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

87%

Decrease

$15.6K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economic Policy.

Polymarket currently hosts 41 active markets for Economic Policy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $123.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Fed rate hike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economic Policy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.