Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30 meeting, driven by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 5.6% year-over-year—above the 3% target and up from 5.3% in February—prompting persistent monetary tightening after the board's 100 basis point hike to 11.25% on March 31 in a split 4-2-1 vote. Heightened inflation expectations, projected at 6.3% for 2026 amid wage pressures and supply shocks, underpin the frontrunning "Increase" outcome, while 21% odds on "No change" reflect government tensions, including the finance minister's board withdrawal post-hike. "Decrease" at 0.4% faces negligible support given sticky core inflation dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Increase 83%
No change 21%
Decrease <1%
$27,714 Vol.
$27,714 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No change
21%
Increase
77%
Increase 83%
No change 21%
Decrease <1%
$27,714 Vol.
$27,714 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No change
21%
Increase
77%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30 meeting, driven by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 5.6% year-over-year—above the 3% target and up from 5.3% in February—prompting persistent monetary tightening after the board's 100 basis point hike to 11.25% on March 31 in a split 4-2-1 vote. Heightened inflation expectations, projected at 6.3% for 2026 amid wage pressures and supply shocks, underpin the frontrunning "Increase" outcome, while 21% odds on "No change" reflect government tensions, including the finance minister's board withdrawal post-hike. "Decrease" at 0.4% faces negligible support given sticky core inflation dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions