Trump V. Casa predictions & odds

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SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

95%

$105K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

4%

$9.4K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

78%

December 31, 2026

$7.2K Vol.

$961 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

17%

$84.0K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

White House # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

White House # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

31%

140-159

$43.1K Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will Trump say during dinner with Dutch royals on April 13?

What will Trump say during dinner with Dutch royals on April 13?

70%

-No Qualifying Event-

$3.1K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

2

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

91%

140-159

$165K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

31%

100-119

$32.8K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

87%

120-139

$298K Vol.

$68.3K today

$21.1K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

35%

100-119

$89.1K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

91%

China

$230K Vol.

$91.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

56%

May 31

$266K Vol.

$266K today

$64.1K Liq.

12

Ends in 16 days

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

53%

$351K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

37

Ends in 3 months

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

16%

$7.4K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

17%

$7M Vol.

$57.8K today

$462K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

44%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$22.6K Vol.

$87.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19)

What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19)

94%

Military Operation

$18.6K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

6%

$3M Vol.

$67.9K today

$489K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

11%

$13.3K Vol.

$59.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

85%

Sleepy Joe

$65.1K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 164 active markets for Trump V. Casa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “Trump out as President before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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