Naval predictions & odds

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Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

11%

United Kingdom

$2M Vol.

$99.2K today

$190K Liq.

120

Ends in 16 days

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

100%

April 17

$15M Vol.

$13M today

$7M Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

94%

December 31

$39M Vol.

$2M today

$804K Liq.

1,974

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

20%

June 30

$23M Vol.

$942K today

$601K Liq.

334

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Kuwait

$1M Vol.

$434K today

$387K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Iran by...?

Israel military action against Iran by...?

30%

April 21

$948K Vol.

$420K today

$89.8K Liq.

30

Ends in 7 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

56%

May 31

$266K Vol.

$266K today

$64.0K Liq.

12

Ends in 16 days

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

27%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$89.7K today

$47.9K Liq.

163

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

14%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$221K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

100%

April 9

$338K Vol.

$107K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

<1%

April 10

$1M Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

20%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$76.1K Liq.

168

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

50%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$63.6K Liq.

165

Ends in 3 months

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

19%

April 30

$687K Vol.

$80.0K Liq.

78

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

1%

April 10

$1M Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

30%

4

$6M Vol.

$172K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

33%

7

$822K Vol.

$84.6K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

4%

$1M Vol.

$72.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$712K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

21%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$105K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 158 active markets for Naval that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $105.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Naval predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.