Trader consensus prices Ălvaro FernĂĄndez Carreras and Kim Min-Jae as co-favorites at around 45-47% implied probability for most yellow cards in the UEFA Champions League, bunched tightly with Mikel Merino, Lamine Yamal, and MartĂn Zubimendi near 42-44%, reflecting their shared disciplinary tallies of four cautions each through the league phase and round of 16. These foul-prone defensive midfielders, center-backs, and wingersâkey starters for quarterfinalists Benfica, Bayern Munich, Arsenal, and Barcelonaâbenefit from high minutes in intense matchups, amplifying tackle risks without recent suspensions derailing momentum. Quarterfinal first legs last week produced minimal additional cards, sustaining the deadlock, while Konrad Laimer's four bookings and Declan Rice's three underscore competitive upset potential in second legs and beyond.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. ¡ UpdatedDeclan Rice 26%
Mikel Merino 0
Kim Min-Jae 0
Ălvaro FernĂĄndez Carreras 0
Declan Rice
26%
Mikel Merino
43%
Kim Min-Jae
34%
Ălvaro FernĂĄndez Carreras
47%
Lamine Yamal
42%
MartĂn Zubimendi
42%
Konrad Laimer
46%
Declan Rice 26%
Mikel Merino 0
Kim Min-Jae 0
Ălvaro FernĂĄndez Carreras 0
Declan Rice
26%
Mikel Merino
43%
Kim Min-Jae
34%
Ălvaro FernĂĄndez Carreras
47%
Lamine Yamal
42%
MartĂn Zubimendi
42%
Konrad Laimer
46%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to âOtherâ.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to âOtherâ.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Ălvaro FernĂĄndez Carreras and Kim Min-Jae as co-favorites at around 45-47% implied probability for most yellow cards in the UEFA Champions League, bunched tightly with Mikel Merino, Lamine Yamal, and MartĂn Zubimendi near 42-44%, reflecting their shared disciplinary tallies of four cautions each through the league phase and round of 16. These foul-prone defensive midfielders, center-backs, and wingersâkey starters for quarterfinalists Benfica, Bayern Munich, Arsenal, and Barcelonaâbenefit from high minutes in intense matchups, amplifying tackle risks without recent suspensions derailing momentum. Quarterfinal first legs last week produced minimal additional cards, sustaining the deadlock, while Konrad Laimer's four bookings and Declan Rice's three underscore competitive upset potential in second legs and beyond.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. ¡ Updated



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