Aston Villa leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability after Ollie Watkins' brace powered a commanding 3-1 away win over Bologna in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinal first leg on April 9, extending their streak to 14 wins in 16 European matches under Unai Emery and positioning them strongly for semifinals. Freiburg's dominant 3-0 home victory against Celta Vigo boosts them to 11.9%, creating a steep aggregate hill for the Spaniards. Real Betis holds 15.5% following a resilient 1-1 draw at Braga, while Porto (10.2%) and Nottingham Forest (10.4%) remain tightly matched after their 1-1 stalemate, with second legs this week set to clarify paths amid favorable home advantages for Villa and Freiburg.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Winner
UEFA Europa League: Winner
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Freiburg 11.9%
Nott'm Forest 10.5%
$2,849,169 Vol.
$2,849,169 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Freiburg
12%
Nott'm Forest
10%
Porto
10%
Braga
3%
Celta
1%
Bologna
1%
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Freiburg 11.9%
Nott'm Forest 10.5%
$2,849,169 Vol.
$2,849,169 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Freiburg
12%
Nott'm Forest
10%
Porto
10%
Braga
3%
Celta
1%
Bologna
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aston Villa leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability after Ollie Watkins' brace powered a commanding 3-1 away win over Bologna in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinal first leg on April 9, extending their streak to 14 wins in 16 European matches under Unai Emery and positioning them strongly for semifinals. Freiburg's dominant 3-0 home victory against Celta Vigo boosts them to 11.9%, creating a steep aggregate hill for the Spaniards. Real Betis holds 15.5% following a resilient 1-1 draw at Braga, while Porto (10.2%) and Nottingham Forest (10.4%) remain tightly matched after their 1-1 stalemate, with second legs this week set to clarify paths amid favorable home advantages for Villa and Freiburg.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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