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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 17%

Los Angeles FC 15%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.0%

San Diego FC 5.5%

Polymarket

$12,776,616 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 17%

Los Angeles FC 15%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.0%

San Diego FC 5.5%

Polymarket

$12,776,616 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$9,412 Vol.

17%

Los Angeles FC

$15,289 Vol.

15%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$349,457 Vol.

10%

San Diego FC

$1,196,759 Vol.

6%

Nashville SC

$245,279 Vol.

5%

FC Cincinnati

$616,471 Vol.

4%

New York City FC

$462,417 Vol.

4%

Seattle Sounders FC

$706,854 Vol.

3%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,045,276 Vol.

3%

Toronto FC

$18,756 Vol.

3%

Charlotte FC

$303,354 Vol.

2%

Minnesota United FC

$77,208 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$66,046 Vol.

2%

Columbus Crew

$2,853,645 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$4,789 Vol.

1%

Real Salt Lake

$2,467,073 Vol.

1%

Philadelphia Union

$51,264 Vol.

1%

Orlando City SC

$1,792,404 Vol.

1%

Houston Dynamo FC

$49,101 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$60,232 Vol.

1%

Chicago Fire FC

$74,626 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$41,885 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$36,766 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$57,368 Vol.

1%

St. Louis City SC

$64,343 Vol.

1%

CF Montréal

$4,201 Vol.

<1%

Colorado Rapids

$95,174 Vol.

<1%

D.C. United

$2,439 Vol.

<1%

New England Revolution

$2,894 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$6,378 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending MLS Cup champions Inter Miami CF hold a slim trader consensus edge at 16.5% implied probability despite an early-season stumble, including a 3-0 opening loss to LAFC on February 21, as Lionel Messi's influence and roster depth sustain optimism amid Eastern Conference parity. LAFC's perfect Western Conference start—unbeaten through six matches with 16 points and zero goals conceded—has propelled them to 15%, showcasing elite defense and home dominance at BMO Stadium. Vancouver Whitecaps FC, fresh off their 2025 final run, sit third at 10% with a potent attack (17 goals scored) and +13 goal difference, while expansion side San Diego FC's explosive 5-0 opener and Nashville SC's hot streak underscore the wide-open 34-game regular season grind toward playoffs and MLS Cup contention.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,776,616
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending MLS Cup champions Inter Miami CF hold a slim trader consensus edge at 16.5% implied probability despite an early-season stumble, including a 3-0 opening loss to LAFC on February 21, as Lionel Messi's influence and roster depth sustain optimism amid Eastern Conference parity. LAFC's perfect Western Conference start—unbeaten through six matches with 16 points and zero goals conceded—has propelled them to 15%, showcasing elite defense and home dominance at BMO Stadium. Vancouver Whitecaps FC, fresh off their 2025 final run, sit third at 10% with a potent attack (17 goals scored) and +13 goal difference, while expansion side San Diego FC's explosive 5-0 opener and Nashville SC's hot streak underscore the wide-open 34-game regular season grind toward playoffs and MLS Cup contention.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,776,616
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 17%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $12.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.