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UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards

Market icon

UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards

Kim Min-Jae 8.0%

Santiago Hezze 2.9%

Álvaro Fernández Carreras 2.7%

Konrad Laimer 2.6%

Polymarket

$33,046 Vol.

Kim Min-Jae 8.0%

Santiago Hezze 2.9%

Álvaro Fernández Carreras 2.7%

Konrad Laimer 2.6%

Polymarket

$33,046 Vol.

Kim Min-Jae

$28,707 Vol.

8%

Santiago Hezze

$269 Vol.

3%

Álvaro Fernández Carreras

$273 Vol.

3%

Konrad Laimer

$3,198 Vol.

3%

Lamine Yamal

$179 Vol.

1%

Declan Rice

$126 Vol.

31%

Martín Zubimendi

$168 Vol.

32%

Mikel Merino

$126 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus tightly clusters around Arsenal's defensive midfield trio—Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, and Declan Rice—as top risks for most red cards in the UEFA Champions League, with their implied probabilities bunched at 30-34% reflecting comparable season-long yellow accumulations (Merino and Rice at three apiece, Zubimendi at four) and combative tackling styles that yield frequent fouls. Recent round-of-16 bookings against Bayer Leverkusen, coupled with Arsenal's slim 1-0 first-leg quarterfinal advantage over Sporting CP ahead of the second leg at Emirates Stadium, amplify second-yellow threats in intense knockout midfield duels. Bayern Munich's Kim Min-Jae lags at lower odds amid his team's heated rivalry rematch versus Real Madrid, where defender aggression often escalates. No reds yet separate the leaders, keeping the race competitive through semifinals.

This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition.

For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,046
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus tightly clusters around Arsenal's defensive midfield trio—Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, and Declan Rice—as top risks for most red cards in the UEFA Champions League, with their implied probabilities bunched at 30-34% reflecting comparable season-long yellow accumulations (Merino and Rice at three apiece, Zubimendi at four) and combative tackling styles that yield frequent fouls. Recent round-of-16 bookings against Bayer Leverkusen, coupled with Arsenal's slim 1-0 first-leg quarterfinal advantage over Sporting CP ahead of the second leg at Emirates Stadium, amplify second-yellow threats in intense knockout midfield duels. Bayern Munich's Kim Min-Jae lags at lower odds amid his team's heated rivalry rematch versus Real Madrid, where defender aggression often escalates. No reds yet separate the leaders, keeping the race competitive through semifinals.

This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition.

For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,046
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mikel Merino" at 34%, followed by "Martín Zubimendi" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards" has generated $33K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards" is "Mikel Merino" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Martín Zubimendi" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.