Trader consensus tightly clusters around Arsenal's defensive midfield trio—Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, and Declan Rice—as top risks for most red cards in the UEFA Champions League, with their implied probabilities bunched at 30-34% reflecting comparable season-long yellow accumulations (Merino and Rice at three apiece, Zubimendi at four) and combative tackling styles that yield frequent fouls. Recent round-of-16 bookings against Bayer Leverkusen, coupled with Arsenal's slim 1-0 first-leg quarterfinal advantage over Sporting CP ahead of the second leg at Emirates Stadium, amplify second-yellow threats in intense knockout midfield duels. Bayern Munich's Kim Min-Jae lags at lower odds amid his team's heated rivalry rematch versus Real Madrid, where defender aggression often escalates. No reds yet separate the leaders, keeping the race competitive through semifinals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards
UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards
Kim Min-Jae 8.0%
Santiago Hezze 2.9%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 2.7%
Konrad Laimer 2.6%
$33,046 Vol.
$33,046 Vol.
Kim Min-Jae
8%
Santiago Hezze
3%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
3%
Konrad Laimer
3%
Lamine Yamal
1%
Declan Rice
31%
Martín Zubimendi
32%
Mikel Merino
34%
Kim Min-Jae 8.0%
Santiago Hezze 2.9%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 2.7%
Konrad Laimer 2.6%
$33,046 Vol.
$33,046 Vol.
Kim Min-Jae
8%
Santiago Hezze
3%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
3%
Konrad Laimer
3%
Lamine Yamal
1%
Declan Rice
31%
Martín Zubimendi
32%
Mikel Merino
34%
For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus tightly clusters around Arsenal's defensive midfield trio—Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, and Declan Rice—as top risks for most red cards in the UEFA Champions League, with their implied probabilities bunched at 30-34% reflecting comparable season-long yellow accumulations (Merino and Rice at three apiece, Zubimendi at four) and combative tackling styles that yield frequent fouls. Recent round-of-16 bookings against Bayer Leverkusen, coupled with Arsenal's slim 1-0 first-leg quarterfinal advantage over Sporting CP ahead of the second leg at Emirates Stadium, amplify second-yellow threats in intense knockout midfield duels. Bayern Munich's Kim Min-Jae lags at lower odds amid his team's heated rivalry rematch versus Real Madrid, where defender aggression often escalates. No reds yet separate the leaders, keeping the race competitive through semifinals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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