Trader consensus prices FC Bayern München at 62.5% implied probability to win the Champions League quarterfinal second leg at Allianz Arena, driven by their 2-1 first-leg upset victory in Madrid last week, robust home form under Vincent Kompany, and Harry Kane's expected return from ankle injury boosting their attack. Real Madrid CF, at 21.5%, faces headwinds from an injury crisis—Thibaut Courtois sidelined with a thigh issue, Rodrygo out long-term with knee problems, Ferland Mendy not fully fit—compounded by a recent 2-1 La Liga loss to Mallorca and no wins in three. The 17.5% draw odds reflect Bayern's Bundesliga dominance (unbeaten in 10) versus Madrid's counterattacking threat from Mbappé and Vinícius, though aggregate lead favors the hosts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices FC Bayern München at 62.5% implied probability to win the Champions League quarterfinal second leg at Allianz Arena, driven by their 2-1 first-leg upset victory in Madrid last week, robust home form under Vincent Kompany, and Harry Kane's expected return from ankle injury boosting their attack. Real Madrid CF, at 21.5%, faces headwinds from an injury crisis—Thibaut Courtois sidelined with a thigh issue, Rodrygo out long-term with knee problems, Ferland Mendy not fully fit—compounded by a recent 2-1 La Liga loss to Mallorca and no wins in three. The 17.5% draw odds reflect Bayern's Bundesliga dominance (unbeaten in 10) versus Madrid's counterattacking threat from Mbappé and Vinícius, though aggregate lead favors the hosts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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