Trader consensus prices Igor Jesus and Jayden Oosterwolde nearly even at 48.5% and 46.5% implied probabilities for most yellow cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Europa League, reflecting their atop the disciplinary table amid Fenerbahçe's competition-high team bookings exceeding 30. Oosterwolde leads with 5 yellows across 8 matches (0.63 average), fueled by his tenacious defending and a recent dissent card in the quarterfinal first leg versus Nottingham Forest, though a suspension briefly sidelined him. Jesus trails at 4 bookings in 10 appearances (0.37 average) for Forest, but his aggressive forward pressing and top-scorer form (7 goals) sustain upset potential in knockouts. Fred lags at 1.1% post-suspensions, with fewer fouls. Tight remaining fixtures heighten the race's volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIgor Jesus 49%
Fred 1.2%
Jayden Oosterwolde 0
Igor Jesus
49%
Fred
1%
Jayden Oosterwolde
48%
Igor Jesus 49%
Fred 1.2%
Jayden Oosterwolde 0
Igor Jesus
49%
Fred
1%
Jayden Oosterwolde
48%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Igor Jesus and Jayden Oosterwolde nearly even at 48.5% and 46.5% implied probabilities for most yellow cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Europa League, reflecting their atop the disciplinary table amid Fenerbahçe's competition-high team bookings exceeding 30. Oosterwolde leads with 5 yellows across 8 matches (0.63 average), fueled by his tenacious defending and a recent dissent card in the quarterfinal first leg versus Nottingham Forest, though a suspension briefly sidelined him. Jesus trails at 4 bookings in 10 appearances (0.37 average) for Forest, but his aggressive forward pressing and top-scorer form (7 goals) sustain upset potential in knockouts. Fred lags at 1.1% post-suspensions, with fewer fouls. Tight remaining fixtures heighten the race's volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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