Transportation Security Administration predictions & odds

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Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

<1%

$83.6K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?

Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?

79%

17-17.5m

$8.5K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$15.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

65%

$112K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

44%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$22.6K Vol.

$89.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

26%

$69.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

8%

$925 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

25%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$104K today

$46.8K Liq.

163

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

47%

April 30

$253K Vol.

$253K today

$59.5K Liq.

12

Ends in 16 days

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

12%

$5.4K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

78%

December 31, 2026

$7.2K Vol.

$963 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

83%

Not revealed in 2026

$11.9K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

4%

$135K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$47.6K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12%

$17.3K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

10%

$139K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

81%

April 15

$102K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

99%

60+ days

$1M Vol.

$59.4K Liq.

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1%

$57.0K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

4

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

3%

$146K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Transportation Security Administration.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Transportation Security Administration that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to April 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Transportation Security Administration predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.