Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 89.5% implied probability to "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by the swift resolution of his March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida—he bonded out on $1,000 bail the same day with no further legal escalation reported. Since then, the controversial Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer has stayed out of trouble, heeding lawyers' advice to avoid risky antics amid heightened security ("Joe locked in"), while incidents like a fan slapping him resulted in her arrest instead. With just over two weeks left, no new investigations or viral controversies have emerged to shift sentiment, though his unpredictable manosphere persona leaves room for surprise swats or beefs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedClavicular arrested again by April 30?
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 89.5% implied probability to "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by the swift resolution of his March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida—he bonded out on $1,000 bail the same day with no further legal escalation reported. Since then, the controversial Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer has stayed out of trouble, heeding lawyers' advice to avoid risky antics amid heightened security ("Joe locked in"), while incidents like a fan slapping him resulted in her arrest instead. With just over two weeks left, no new investigations or viral controversies have emerged to shift sentiment, though his unpredictable manosphere persona leaves room for surprise swats or beefs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,393End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 89.5% implied probability to "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by the swift resolution of his March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida—he bonded out on $1,000 bail the same day with no further legal escalation reported. Since then, the controversial Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer has stayed out of trouble, heeding lawyers' advice to avoid risky antics amid heightened security ("Joe locked in"), while incidents like a fan slapping him resulted in her arrest instead. With just over two weeks left, no new investigations or viral controversies have emerged to shift sentiment, though his unpredictable manosphere persona leaves room for surprise swats or beefs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,393End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 89.5% implied probability to "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) facing another arrest by April 30, driven by the swift resolution of his March 27 misdemeanor battery charge in Florida—he bonded out on $1,000 bail the same day with no further legal escalation reported. Since then, the controversial Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer has stayed out of trouble, heeding lawyers' advice to avoid risky antics amid heightened security ("Joe locked in"), while incidents like a fan slapping him resulted in her arrest instead. With just over two weeks left, no new investigations or viral controversies have emerged to shift sentiment, though his unpredictable manosphere persona leaves room for surprise swats or beefs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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