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Politics·Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12% chance
Polymarket

$17,288 Vol.

12% chance
Polymarket

$17,288 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.President Trump's dismissal of Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary on March 31, 2026—replacing her with Sen. Markwayne Mullin—preempted House Democrats' impeachment articles filed in January by Rep. Robin Kelly, citing alleged obstruction of Congress, violation of public trust, and self-dealing amid ICE fatal shootings, FEMA cuts, and ad contract controversies. No House vote advanced amid Republican control, and Noem's exit from office reduces prospects for further proceedings, as impeachment of former officials rarely leads to trials without bipartisan support. Traders' 87.9% "No" consensus reflects this structural barrier and absence of new catalysts, with her personal scandals in early April drawing minimal institutional response.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$17,288
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.President Trump's dismissal of Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary on March 31, 2026—replacing her with Sen. Markwayne Mullin—preempted House Democrats' impeachment articles filed in January by Rep. Robin Kelly, citing alleged obstruction of Congress, violation of public trust, and self-dealing amid ICE fatal shootings, FEMA cuts, and ad contract controversies. No House vote advanced amid Republican control, and Noem's exit from office reduces prospects for further proceedings, as impeachment of former officials rarely leads to trials without bipartisan support. Traders' 87.9% "No" consensus reflects this structural barrier and absence of new catalysts, with her personal scandals in early April drawing minimal institutional response.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$17,288
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 12% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 12¢, the market collectively assigns a 12% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" is 12% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 12% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.