Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the April 2026 BLS average retail price for Grade A large eggs in the U.S. city average firmly in the $2.25–2.50 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, anchored by March's $2.348 reading released April 10 amid a 3.4% monthly CPI eggs index decline. This positioning reflects sustained recovery from 2025 avian influenza outbreaks, with 2026 losses limited to 15.2 million birds versus massive prior culls; USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reports national wholesale loose large eggs at $0.21/dozen—down 55% weekly—alongside moderate-to-heavy supplies and light demand. The $2.00–2.25 outcome at 21.5% captures downside risk from collapsing wholesales and $1.70 national ad pricing, while upside tails above $2.75 remain slim absent renewed bird flu shocks. Resolution awaits May 12 BLS data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.25–2.50 49%
$2.00–2.25 22%
$2.50–2.75 16%
$2.75–3.00 11%
NEW
NEW
May 12, 2026
<$1.75
5%
$1.75–2.00
10%
$2.00–2.25
22%
$2.25–2.50
49%
$2.50–2.75
16%
$2.75–3.00
11%
$3.00–3.25
4%
$3.25–3.50
4%
$3.50–3.75
4%
≥$3.75
4%
$2.25–2.50 49%
$2.00–2.25 22%
$2.50–2.75 16%
$2.75–3.00 11%
NEW
NEW
May 12, 2026
<$1.75
$22 Vol.
5%
$1.75–2.00
$6 Vol.
10%
$2.00–2.25
$16 Vol.
22%
$2.25–2.50
$14 Vol.
49%
$2.50–2.75
$127 Vol.
16%
$2.75–3.00
$6 Vol.
11%
$3.00–3.25
$117 Vol.
4%
$3.25–3.50
$6 Vol.
4%
$3.50–3.75
$6 Vol.
4%
≥$3.75
$6 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the April 2026 BLS average retail price for Grade A large eggs in the U.S. city average firmly in the $2.25–2.50 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, anchored by March's $2.348 reading released April 10 amid a 3.4% monthly CPI eggs index decline. This positioning reflects sustained recovery from 2025 avian influenza outbreaks, with 2026 losses limited to 15.2 million birds versus massive prior culls; USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reports national wholesale loose large eggs at $0.21/dozen—down 55% weekly—alongside moderate-to-heavy supplies and light demand. The $2.00–2.25 outcome at 21.5% captures downside risk from collapsing wholesales and $1.70 national ad pricing, while upside tails above $2.75 remain slim absent renewed bird flu shocks. Resolution awaits May 12 BLS data.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$327End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the April 2026 BLS average retail price for Grade A large eggs in the U.S. city average firmly in the $2.25–2.50 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, anchored by March's $2.348 reading released April 10 amid a 3.4% monthly CPI eggs index decline. This positioning reflects sustained recovery from 2025 avian influenza outbreaks, with 2026 losses limited to 15.2 million birds versus massive prior culls; USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reports national wholesale loose large eggs at $0.21/dozen—down 55% weekly—alongside moderate-to-heavy supplies and light demand. The $2.00–2.25 outcome at 21.5% captures downside risk from collapsing wholesales and $1.70 national ad pricing, while upside tails above $2.75 remain slim absent renewed bird flu shocks. Resolution awaits May 12 BLS data.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volume
$327End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the April 2026 BLS average retail price for Grade A large eggs in the U.S. city average firmly in the $2.25–2.50 bracket at 48.5% implied probability, anchored by March's $2.348 reading released April 10 amid a 3.4% monthly CPI eggs index decline. This positioning reflects sustained recovery from 2025 avian influenza outbreaks, with 2026 losses limited to 15.2 million birds versus massive prior culls; USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reports national wholesale loose large eggs at $0.21/dozen—down 55% weekly—alongside moderate-to-heavy supplies and light demand. The $2.00–2.25 outcome at 21.5% captures downside risk from collapsing wholesales and $1.70 national ad pricing, while upside tails above $2.75 remain slim absent renewed bird flu shocks. Resolution awaits May 12 BLS data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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