Department Of Homeland Security predictions & odds

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Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

<1%

$84.6K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

99%

60+ days

$1M Vol.

$54.1K Liq.

When will the DHS shutdown end?
Department Of Homeland Security·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

56%

After April 30

$904K Vol.

$66.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12%

$17.3K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

47%

June 30

$7.2K Vol.

$887 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

12%

$37.1K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

18%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

43%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$22.6K Vol.

$90.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

57%

$6.8K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$47.6K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

3%

$7.2K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

27%

June 30

$277K Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$11.9K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

6%

$57.5K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

40%

June 30

$86.3K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

22%

$72.1K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

$9.7K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

37%

300-400k

$57.6K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

24%

$4.8K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

63%

$62.8K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Department Of Homeland Security that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Department Of Homeland Security predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.