Beirut predictions & odds

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Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

100%

April 9

$336K Vol.

$108K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

4%

April 30

$128K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

4%

$12.4K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?

Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?

29%

$42.5K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

26%

December 31

$940K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

19%

$6.9K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

20%

$95.7K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club - More Markets

Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club - More Markets

-

$70.2K Vol.

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

27%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$398K Vol.

$118K Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

27%

10-14

$955 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

54%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$307K today

$109K Liq.

251

Ends in 3 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

58%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

$24.1K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

49%

Gamba Ōsaka

$0 Vol.

$176 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

35%

December 31, 2026

$445K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

29

RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Ventforet Kōfu

RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Ventforet Kōfu

47%

RB Ōmiya Ardija

$0 Vol.

$151 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

19%

April 30

$686K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

78

Ends in 16 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $4

$615K Vol.

$50.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

Gentle Mates Alpine

$7.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC - More Markets

Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC - More Markets

-

$101K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Beirut.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Beirut that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel military action against Beirut on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Beirut predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.