Crystal Palace leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability following their dominant 3-0 home win over Fiorentina in the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-final first leg on April 9, bolstered by Premier League depth and Jean-Philippe Mateta's penalty strike amid a clinical display with a clean sheet. Mainz (18.5%) and Shakhtar Donetsk (16.5%) hold strong aggregate advantages after 2-0 and 3-0 home triumphs versus Strasbourg and AZ Alkmaar, respectively, leveraging Bundesliga quality and European experience from the Ukrainian champions. Rayo Vallecano (13.5%) mirrors the shutout success with a 3-0 rout of AEK Athens, highlighting La Liga resilience. No away goals across matches position these four for likely semi-final berths on April 16 second legs, though comebacks remain possible in the knockout phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrystal Palace 53%
Mainz 19%
Shakhtar Donetsk 16%
Rayo Vallecano 13%
$29,630 Vol.
$29,630 Vol.
Crystal Palace
46%
Mainz
19%
Shakhtar Donetsk
16%
Rayo Vallecano
14%
AEK Athens
9%
Strasbourg
5%
AZ Alkmaar
2%
Fiorentina
1%
Crystal Palace 53%
Mainz 19%
Shakhtar Donetsk 16%
Rayo Vallecano 13%
$29,630 Vol.
$29,630 Vol.
Crystal Palace
46%
Mainz
19%
Shakhtar Donetsk
16%
Rayo Vallecano
14%
AEK Athens
9%
Strasbourg
5%
AZ Alkmaar
2%
Fiorentina
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Crystal Palace leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability following their dominant 3-0 home win over Fiorentina in the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-final first leg on April 9, bolstered by Premier League depth and Jean-Philippe Mateta's penalty strike amid a clinical display with a clean sheet. Mainz (18.5%) and Shakhtar Donetsk (16.5%) hold strong aggregate advantages after 2-0 and 3-0 home triumphs versus Strasbourg and AZ Alkmaar, respectively, leveraging Bundesliga quality and European experience from the Ukrainian champions. Rayo Vallecano (13.5%) mirrors the shutout success with a 3-0 rout of AEK Athens, highlighting La Liga resilience. No away goals across matches position these four for likely semi-final berths on April 16 second legs, though comebacks remain possible in the knockout phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions