Trader consensus in the UEFA Europa Conference League most red cards market prices Joseph Mbong of Ħamrun Spartans at 56.5% implied probability to lead, driven by his two dismissals already this season—straight reds against Shamrock Rovers and Jagiellonia Białystok in the league phase—setting him apart from the pack. Alexandre Penetra (AZ Alkmaar, 44%) earned a straight red just two minutes into AEK Larnaca's matchup, while Borna Sosa (Crystal Palace, 40.3%) picked up a second yellow late versus Dynamo Kyiv. Pep Chavarría (Rayo Vallecano, 41%) and Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz 05, 39.5%) followed with second yellows against Häcken and Lech Poznań, respectively, highlighting their aggressive defensive profiles and teams' continued knockout-stage exposure amid no major disciplinary shifts in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoseph Mbong 56%
Borna Sosa 41.3%
Alexandre Penetra 41%
Pep Chavarría 40%
Joseph Mbong
56%
Borna Sosa
41%
Alexandre Penetra
41%
Pep Chavarría
40%
Nikolas Veratschnig
39%
Joseph Mbong 56%
Borna Sosa 41.3%
Alexandre Penetra 41%
Pep Chavarría 40%
Joseph Mbong
56%
Borna Sosa
41%
Alexandre Penetra
41%
Pep Chavarría
40%
Nikolas Veratschnig
39%
For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa Conference League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Europa Conference League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa Conference League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Europa Conference League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the UEFA Europa Conference League most red cards market prices Joseph Mbong of Ħamrun Spartans at 56.5% implied probability to lead, driven by his two dismissals already this season—straight reds against Shamrock Rovers and Jagiellonia Białystok in the league phase—setting him apart from the pack. Alexandre Penetra (AZ Alkmaar, 44%) earned a straight red just two minutes into AEK Larnaca's matchup, while Borna Sosa (Crystal Palace, 40.3%) picked up a second yellow late versus Dynamo Kyiv. Pep Chavarría (Rayo Vallecano, 41%) and Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz 05, 39.5%) followed with second yellows against Häcken and Lech Poznań, respectively, highlighting their aggressive defensive profiles and teams' continued knockout-stage exposure amid no major disciplinary shifts in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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