Bayern Munich leads trader consensus at 32.5% implied probability after a crucial 2-1 away victory over Real Madrid in the Champions League quarterfinal first leg at the Bernabéu, showcasing clinical finishing despite rainy conditions. Arsenal sits close at 25.5% following Kai Havertz's 91st-minute winner for a 1-0 triumph at Sporting CP, bolstering their momentum, while PSG's 2-0 home win versus Liverpool underpins their 20.5% share with a solid defensive display. Atletico Madrid's surprise 2-0 upset at Barcelona elevates them to 7.3%, but the race remains tight ahead of second legs—where Bayern, Arsenal, and PSG hold home advantage—with comeback potential from Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Liverpool keeping probabilities bunched amid knockout unpredictability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBayern Munich 33%
Arsenal 26%
PSG 21%
Atletico Madrid 7.4%
$234,783,437 Vol.
$234,783,437 Vol.
Bayern Munich
33%
Arsenal
26%
PSG
21%
Atletico Madrid
7%
Barcelona
7%
Real Madrid
5%
Liverpool
2%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bayern Munich 33%
Arsenal 26%
PSG 21%
Atletico Madrid 7.4%
$234,783,437 Vol.
$234,783,437 Vol.
Bayern Munich
33%
Arsenal
26%
PSG
21%
Atletico Madrid
7%
Barcelona
7%
Real Madrid
5%
Liverpool
2%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bayern Munich leads trader consensus at 32.5% implied probability after a crucial 2-1 away victory over Real Madrid in the Champions League quarterfinal first leg at the Bernabéu, showcasing clinical finishing despite rainy conditions. Arsenal sits close at 25.5% following Kai Havertz's 91st-minute winner for a 1-0 triumph at Sporting CP, bolstering their momentum, while PSG's 2-0 home win versus Liverpool underpins their 20.5% share with a solid defensive display. Atletico Madrid's surprise 2-0 upset at Barcelona elevates them to 7.3%, but the race remains tight ahead of second legs—where Bayern, Arsenal, and PSG hold home advantage—with comeback potential from Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Liverpool keeping probabilities bunched amid knockout unpredictability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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