Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs zero earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide from April 6–12, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability, aligned with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) final seismic catalog showing no such events during that week. USGS real-time monitoring and reviewed data confirm the absence, consistent with global baselines where M6.5+ quakes average 10–15 annually—yielding about 0.2–0.3 per week on expectation, making null weeks routine absent active fault clusters. Model consensus from seismic networks detected no qualifying epicenters exceeding the moment magnitude threshold. Realistic challenges include rare post-review magnitude upgrades from preliminary assessments, though USGS protocols minimize this post-event; resolution awaits official catalog finalization.