Congress Expulsions predictions & odds

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Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?

Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?

52%

$381 Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

10%

$203 Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

9%

$9 Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by May 31?

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by May 31?

51%

$8 Vol.

$29 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

50%

$0 Vol.

$10 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

3%

$7.2K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

91%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$387K today

$372K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?

15%

$6.4K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

21%

$12.6K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

43%

$17.6K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

44%

250 / 250th

$1 Vol.

$509 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

19%

$11.1K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

17%

Dong Jun

$120K Vol.

$148K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

37%

300-400k

$57.6K Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

12%

$16.6K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

6%

$112K Vol.

$145K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

44%

$277 Vol.

$734 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

3%

$14.0K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

15%

$58.1K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?

9%

$7.1K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for Congress Expulsions that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to Orbán - Hungary PM. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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