Business predictions & odds

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Largest Company end of April?

Largest Company end of April?

98%

NVIDIA

$6M Vol.

$543K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

42%

0 (0 bps)

$19M Vol.

$227K today

$1M Liq.

54

Ends in 9 months

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

89%

NVIDIA

$5M Vol.

$96.7K today

$477K Liq.

79

Ends in 3 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

71%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$56.8K today

$611K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

93%

SpaceX

$6M Vol.

$55.4K today

$245K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

72

Ends in 9 months

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

62%

Caesars Entertainment

$17M Vol.

$87.9K Liq.

18

Ends in 9 months

2nd largest company end of April?

2nd largest company end of April?

71%

Alphabet

$1M Vol.

$246K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

3rd largest company end of April?

3rd largest company end of April?

72%

Apple

$865K Vol.

$142K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

$3M Vol.

$48.0K Liq.

80

Ends in 3 months

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

67%

3.9%

$212K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

78%

80%

$91.2K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

2%

Lloyds

$408K Vol.

$119K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

54%

June

$221K Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

94%

CME

$79.8K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

39%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

43

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

26%

$31.1K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

31%

$1M Vol.

$78.9K Liq.

58

Ends in 10 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

28%

OpenAI

$1M Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

23

Ends in 3 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

92%

Up

$22.7K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Business.

Polymarket currently hosts 94 active markets for Business that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $67.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recession by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to 0 (0 bps). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Business predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.