Quarterfinal second legs on April 14-15 will decide the UEFA Champions League semi-finalists, with all first legs producing tight one- or two-goal margins favoring Bayern München (2-1 at Real Madrid), Atlético Madrid (2-0 at Barcelona), Arsenal (1-0 at Sporting CP), and Paris Saint-Germain (2-0 home vs. Liverpool). Liverpool faces a steep Anfield comeback without goalkeeper Alisson Becker and several defenders amid multiple injuries, while Barcelona lacks Raphinha, Frenkie de Jong, and others for their Metropolitano challenge. Real Madrid contends with Kylian Mbappé's injury doubt and suspension risks for Jude Bellingham, Vinícius Júnior ahead of Allianz Arena. Home advantages and big-club knockout resilience shape trader consensus in these high-stakes ties leading to semis on April 28-29 and Budapest final on May 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$48,182 Vol.

Arsenal
60%

Bayern München
53%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
40%

Atlético Madrid
25%

Barcelona
14%

Real Madrid
9%

Liverpool
6%

Sporting CP
1%
$48,182 Vol.

Arsenal
60%

Bayern München
53%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
40%

Atlético Madrid
25%

Barcelona
14%

Real Madrid
9%

Liverpool
6%

Sporting CP
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Quarterfinal second legs on April 14-15 will decide the UEFA Champions League semi-finalists, with all first legs producing tight one- or two-goal margins favoring Bayern München (2-1 at Real Madrid), Atlético Madrid (2-0 at Barcelona), Arsenal (1-0 at Sporting CP), and Paris Saint-Germain (2-0 home vs. Liverpool). Liverpool faces a steep Anfield comeback without goalkeeper Alisson Becker and several defenders amid multiple injuries, while Barcelona lacks Raphinha, Frenkie de Jong, and others for their Metropolitano challenge. Real Madrid contends with Kylian Mbappé's injury doubt and suspension risks for Jude Bellingham, Vinícius Júnior ahead of Allianz Arena. Home advantages and big-club knockout resilience shape trader consensus in these high-stakes ties leading to semis on April 28-29 and Budapest final on May 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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