Market icon

How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

Market icon

How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

$73,662 Vol.

Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket

$73,662 Vol.

Polymarket

>$140B

$16,089 Vol.

81%

>$160B

$36,482 Vol.

48%

>$180B

$21,091 Vol.

86%

>$200B

$0 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sourcesAs of late March 2026, US sports betting handle reached approximately $23 billion for January and February combined, pacing slightly behind 2025's record $165 billion full-year total amid a post-Super Bowl dip and emerging competition from prediction markets like Kalshi. January's $14.8 billion handle was nearly flat year-over-year, led by New York ($2.5 billion) and buoyed by NFL playoffs, while February softened to around $8-12 billion across states. March Madness injected a projected $3.3-4 billion boost, with FanDuel holding 44% market share. Traders eye NBA and NHL playoffs, MLB's full slate, and NFL's high-volume fall schedule for acceleration, alongside potential legalization in holdout states like California, though prediction market growth poses downside risk to traditional sportsbook volume.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Volume
$73,662
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sourcesAs of late March 2026, US sports betting handle reached approximately $23 billion for January and February combined, pacing slightly behind 2025's record $165 billion full-year total amid a post-Super Bowl dip and emerging competition from prediction markets like Kalshi. January's $14.8 billion handle was nearly flat year-over-year, led by New York ($2.5 billion) and buoyed by NFL playoffs, while February softened to around $8-12 billion across states. March Madness injected a projected $3.3-4 billion boost, with FanDuel holding 44% market share. Traders eye NBA and NHL playoffs, MLB's full slate, and NFL's high-volume fall schedule for acceleration, alongside potential legalization in holdout states like California, though prediction market growth poses downside risk to traditional sportsbook volume.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Volume
$73,662
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources

Related

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Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

10%
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Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

48%
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Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

90%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$180B" at 86%, followed by ">$140B" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" has generated $73.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" is ">$180B" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">$140B" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.