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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Market icon
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Linda Noskova 30.3%

Aryna Sabalenka 17%

Elena Rybakina 14.3%

Iga Swiatek 7%

Polymarket

$969,615 Vol.

Linda Noskova 30.3%

Aryna Sabalenka 17%

Elena Rybakina 14.3%

Iga Swiatek 7%

Polymarket

$969,615 Vol.

Linda Noskova

$1,026 Vol.

30%

Aryna Sabalenka

$2,676 Vol.

17%

Elena Rybakina

$59,230 Vol.

14%

Iga Swiatek

$1,439 Vol.

7%

Coco Gauff

$6,842 Vol.

6%

Mirra Andreeva

$15,320 Vol.

3%

Karolina Muchova

$910 Vol.

2%

Diana Shnaider

$21,007 Vol.

2%

Amanda Anisimova

$47,914 Vol.

2%

Jessica Pegula

$77,925 Vol.

2%

Naomi Osaka

$863 Vol.

1%

Victoria Mboko

$1,079 Vol.

1%

Donna Vekic

$18,076 Vol.

1%

Madison Keys

$772 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$17,215 Vol.

1%

Xiyu Wang

$17,026 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$11,289 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$13,676 Vol.

1%

Dayana Yastremska

$985 Vol.

1%

Emma Raducanu

$39,595 Vol.

1%

Tereza Valentova

$214,331 Vol.

1%

Elina Svitolina

$726 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$6,443 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Eala

$242,147 Vol.

1%

Maya Joint

$28,613 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$816 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$5,802 Vol.

1%

Anastasia Potapova

$824 Vol.

1%

Marie Bouzkova

$21,204 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$637 Vol.

1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$17,098 Vol.

1%

Katie Boulter

$47,341 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$751 Vol.

1%

Sofia Kenin

$670 Vol.

1%

Clara Tauson

$728 Vol.

1%

Daria Kasatkina

$654 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$579 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$762 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$24,065 Vol.

<1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$558 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Linda Noskova as the 30% implied probability favorite for the 2026 US Open women's title, propelled by her breakthrough semifinal run at the recent Miami Open—defeating Sorana Cirstea, No. 31 Alexandra Eala, and Talia Gibson on hard courts before a straight-sets loss to champion Aryna Sabalenka—showcasing her rising hard-court prowess as a world No. 14. Sabalenka, the world No. 1 at 16.5%, solidified dominance by winning Miami over Elena Rybakina in the final, though Rybakina's 14.3% reflects lingering injury concerns from a Dubai retirement due to nausea and leg fatigue. Lower odds for Iga Swiatek (6.5%) and Coco Gauff (5.9%) stem from Swiatek's inconsistent 2026 hard-court results despite her No. 4 ranking, while Gauff holds steady at No. 3 amid a competitive field entering clay season.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$969,615
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Linda Noskova as the 30% implied probability favorite for the 2026 US Open women's title, propelled by her breakthrough semifinal run at the recent Miami Open—defeating Sorana Cirstea, No. 31 Alexandra Eala, and Talia Gibson on hard courts before a straight-sets loss to champion Aryna Sabalenka—showcasing her rising hard-court prowess as a world No. 14. Sabalenka, the world No. 1 at 16.5%, solidified dominance by winning Miami over Elena Rybakina in the final, though Rybakina's 14.3% reflects lingering injury concerns from a Dubai retirement due to nausea and leg fatigue. Lower odds for Iga Swiatek (6.5%) and Coco Gauff (5.9%) stem from Swiatek's inconsistent 2026 hard-court results despite her No. 4 ranking, while Gauff holds steady at No. 3 amid a competitive field entering clay season.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$969,615
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Linda Noskova" at 30%, followed by "Aryna Sabalenka" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $969.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Linda Noskova" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.