Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin split atop the 2026 Women's French Open market, with Iga Świątek and Aryna Sabalenka both at 28.5% implied probability, underscoring uncertainty as the WTA shifts to clay following Sabalenka's dominant hardcourt Sunshine Double—crowning her Australian Open and Miami Open champion with a 23-1 record and world No. 1 ranking. Świątek, now No. 4 after a 12-6 start marred by an early Miami upset, remains the clay-court benchmark with her Roland Garros pedigree, fueling her co-favorite status despite recent struggles. Sabalenka's abrupt Stuttgart withdrawal due to injury introduces doubt on her surface adaptation, while Coco Gauff's 10.5% at No. 3 trails amid solid form but lesser clay edge, keeping the field wide open for the late-May Grand Slam.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIga Świątek 29%
Aryna Sabalenka 29%
Coco Gauff 11%
Elena Rybakina 7.4%
$1,914,967 Vol.
$1,914,967 Vol.
Iga Świątek
29%
Aryna Sabalenka
29%
Coco Gauff
11%
Elena Rybakina
7%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jasmine Paolini
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Bianca Andreescu
1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Iga Świątek 29%
Aryna Sabalenka 29%
Coco Gauff 11%
Elena Rybakina 7.4%
$1,914,967 Vol.
$1,914,967 Vol.
Iga Świątek
29%
Aryna Sabalenka
29%
Coco Gauff
11%
Elena Rybakina
7%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jasmine Paolini
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Bianca Andreescu
1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin split atop the 2026 Women's French Open market, with Iga Świątek and Aryna Sabalenka both at 28.5% implied probability, underscoring uncertainty as the WTA shifts to clay following Sabalenka's dominant hardcourt Sunshine Double—crowning her Australian Open and Miami Open champion with a 23-1 record and world No. 1 ranking. Świątek, now No. 4 after a 12-6 start marred by an early Miami upset, remains the clay-court benchmark with her Roland Garros pedigree, fueling her co-favorite status despite recent struggles. Sabalenka's abrupt Stuttgart withdrawal due to injury introduces doubt on her surface adaptation, while Coco Gauff's 10.5% at No. 3 trails amid solid form but lesser clay edge, keeping the field wide open for the late-May Grand Slam.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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