FC Bayern MĂźnchen's perch atop the Bundesliga table with a commanding lead after 29 matchdays, coupled with a rampant 5-0 win over St. Pauli on April 11 and a 2-1 Champions League upset at Real Madrid on April 7, underpins trader consensus pricing them at 60% implied probability for victory in this DFB-Pokal semi-final at BayArena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen sit fifth with 52 points, buoyed by recent successes like a 1-0 defeat of Borussia Dortmund and 6-3 thrashing of Wolfsburg, yet defensive injuries to Arthur (knee, late April) and Martin Terrier (hamstring, season-ending) weaken their home challenge. Their 1-1 league draw here in March highlights competitiveness, elevating draw odds to 21.5% amid Bayern's minor absences like backup Sven Ulreich.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. ¡ UpdatedIf Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.dfb.de/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.dfb.de/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FC Bayern MĂźnchen's perch atop the Bundesliga table with a commanding lead after 29 matchdays, coupled with a rampant 5-0 win over St. Pauli on April 11 and a 2-1 Champions League upset at Real Madrid on April 7, underpins trader consensus pricing them at 60% implied probability for victory in this DFB-Pokal semi-final at BayArena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen sit fifth with 52 points, buoyed by recent successes like a 1-0 defeat of Borussia Dortmund and 6-3 thrashing of Wolfsburg, yet defensive injuries to Arthur (knee, late April) and Martin Terrier (hamstring, season-ending) weaken their home challenge. Their 1-1 league draw here in March highlights competitiveness, elevating draw odds to 21.5% amid Bayern's minor absences like backup Sven Ulreich.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. ¡ Updated

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