Claude 5 predictions & odds

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Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

47%

June 30, 2026

$3M Vol.

$89.8K Liq.

201

Ends in 16 days

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

96%

35%+

$206K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

74%

50%+

$57.1K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

12

Ends in 3 months

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

81%

600B+

$168K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

92%

$12.9K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

9%

$13.9K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

67%

Anthropic

$52.5K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

27%

June 30

$229K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 16 days

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

90%

June 30

$110K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7.5K Vol.

$55.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

76%

12+

$58.9K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

33%

12+

$1.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

92%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.6K Vol.

$54.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

59%

$45.6K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

GPT-5.5 released on...?

GPT-5.5 released on...?

39%

April 23

$15.7K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

21%

$10.5K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

22

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

97%

June 30

$537K Vol.

$81.9K Liq.

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

LA-05 House Election Winner

LA-05 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$2.1K Vol.

$57.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga

Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga

50%

Draw (Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga)

$358 Vol.

$10 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.