Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, signaling robust investor confidence amid explosive revenue growth to a reported $14 billion annualized run rate. March reports revealed early IPO discussions with top bankers like Goldman Sachs, eyeing a Q4 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, positioning Anthropic to race OpenAI to public markets where enterprise-focused Claude large language models are gaining traction in developer and coding tools. Recent developments, including a April 10 CoreWeave cloud deal and narrowing revenue gap with OpenAI, bolstered sentiment, though macro risks like geopolitical tensions keep "No IPO by December 31, 2027" at 9.5%; lower brackets reflect potential valuation compression from AI hype cooldowns or regulatory hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated600B+ 81%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 2.1%
300–400B 1.2%
$168,139 Vol.
$168,139 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
81%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
600B+ 81%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 2.1%
300–400B 1.2%
$168,139 Vol.
$168,139 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$50,927 Vol.
1%
100–200B
$50,548 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$6,273 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$34,655 Vol.
1%
400–600B
$6,630 Vol.
2%
600B+
$9,874 Vol.
81%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$9,232 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, signaling robust investor confidence amid explosive revenue growth to a reported $14 billion annualized run rate. March reports revealed early IPO discussions with top bankers like Goldman Sachs, eyeing a Q4 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, positioning Anthropic to race OpenAI to public markets where enterprise-focused Claude large language models are gaining traction in developer and coding tools. Recent developments, including a April 10 CoreWeave cloud deal and narrowing revenue gap with OpenAI, bolstered sentiment, though macro risks like geopolitical tensions keep "No IPO by December 31, 2027" at 9.5%; lower brackets reflect potential valuation compression from AI hype cooldowns or regulatory hurdles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$168,139End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, signaling robust investor confidence amid explosive revenue growth to a reported $14 billion annualized run rate. March reports revealed early IPO discussions with top bankers like Goldman Sachs, eyeing a Q4 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, positioning Anthropic to race OpenAI to public markets where enterprise-focused Claude large language models are gaining traction in developer and coding tools. Recent developments, including a April 10 CoreWeave cloud deal and narrowing revenue gap with OpenAI, bolstered sentiment, though macro risks like geopolitical tensions keep "No IPO by December 31, 2027" at 9.5%; lower brackets reflect potential valuation compression from AI hype cooldowns or regulatory hurdles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$168,139End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, signaling robust investor confidence amid explosive revenue growth to a reported $14 billion annualized run rate. March reports revealed early IPO discussions with top bankers like Goldman Sachs, eyeing a Q4 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, positioning Anthropic to race OpenAI to public markets where enterprise-focused Claude large language models are gaining traction in developer and coding tools. Recent developments, including a April 10 CoreWeave cloud deal and narrowing revenue gap with OpenAI, bolstered sentiment, though macro risks like geopolitical tensions keep "No IPO by December 31, 2027" at 9.5%; lower brackets reflect potential valuation compression from AI hype cooldowns or regulatory hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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