Market icon

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?

Market icon

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?

Apr 30

Apr 30

$146,513 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$146,513 Vol.

Polymarket

477m

$55,772 Vol.

100%

478m

$10,799 Vol.

100%

479m

$8,228 Vol.

95%

480m

$32,284 Vol.

63%

485m

$7,720 Vol.

1%

490m

$11,525 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.MrBeast's main YouTube channel just crossed 477 million subscribers on April 13, 2026, capping a rapid growth spurt fueled by his record-breaking "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" livestream on April 5, which drew over 1 million concurrent viewers and generated 224 million views amid technical glitches from overwhelming traffic. This viral event accelerated his trajectory from 474 million on March 31, reflecting sustained momentum from high-stakes challenges and philanthropy-driven content that dominates YouTube algorithms. With an average daily gain of 200,000–400,000 subscribers lately, trader consensus prices the 477 million milestone near certainty, while upcoming video drops could push toward 478 million or higher by April 30 amid competition from short-form rivals and platform algorithm shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$146,513
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.MrBeast's main YouTube channel just crossed 477 million subscribers on April 13, 2026, capping a rapid growth spurt fueled by his record-breaking "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" livestream on April 5, which drew over 1 million concurrent viewers and generated 224 million views amid technical glitches from overwhelming traffic. This viral event accelerated his trajectory from 474 million on March 31, reflecting sustained momentum from high-stakes challenges and philanthropy-driven content that dominates YouTube algorithms. With an average daily gain of 200,000–400,000 subscribers lately, trader consensus prices the 477 million milestone near certainty, while upcoming video drops could push toward 478 million or higher by April 30 amid competition from short-form rivals and platform algorithm shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$146,513
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "477m" at 100%, followed by "478m" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?" has generated $146.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?" is "477m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "478m" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.