Google DeepMind has not yet publicly released Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation text-to-video model, fueling trader uncertainty in a competitive AI video landscape dominated by Seedance 2.0 and Kling. Instead, the company rolled out Veo 3.1 Lite on March 31—a faster, cheaper variant matching Veo 3.1 Fast speeds at half the cost, now in paid preview via the Gemini API—while simultaneously launching Gemma 4 open models on April 2. Market-implied odds reflect speculation of a Veo 4 debut at Google I/O on May 19-20, per historical patterns like Veo 3's 2025 reveal, amid OpenAI's Sora shutdown creating openings. Benchmarks like pseudonymous HappyHorse-1.0 add intrigue but remain unconfirmed, with resolution hinging on general public availability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$42,957 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
24%
$42,957 Vol.
April 30
$667 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind has not yet publicly released Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation text-to-video model, fueling trader uncertainty in a competitive AI video landscape dominated by Seedance 2.0 and Kling. Instead, the company rolled out Veo 3.1 Lite on March 31—a faster, cheaper variant matching Veo 3.1 Fast speeds at half the cost, now in paid preview via the Gemini API—while simultaneously launching Gemma 4 open models on April 2. Market-implied odds reflect speculation of a Veo 4 debut at Google I/O on May 19-20, per historical patterns like Veo 3's 2025 reveal, amid OpenAI's Sora shutdown creating openings. Benchmarks like pseudonymous HappyHorse-1.0 add intrigue but remain unconfirmed, with resolution hinging on general public availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$42,957End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind has not yet publicly released Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation text-to-video model, fueling trader uncertainty in a competitive AI video landscape dominated by Seedance 2.0 and Kling. Instead, the company rolled out Veo 3.1 Lite on March 31—a faster, cheaper variant matching Veo 3.1 Fast speeds at half the cost, now in paid preview via the Gemini API—while simultaneously launching Gemma 4 open models on April 2. Market-implied odds reflect speculation of a Veo 4 debut at Google I/O on May 19-20, per historical patterns like Veo 3's 2025 reveal, amid OpenAI's Sora shutdown creating openings. Benchmarks like pseudonymous HappyHorse-1.0 add intrigue but remain unconfirmed, with resolution hinging on general public availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,957End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google DeepMind has not yet publicly released Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation text-to-video model, fueling trader uncertainty in a competitive AI video landscape dominated by Seedance 2.0 and Kling. Instead, the company rolled out Veo 3.1 Lite on March 31—a faster, cheaper variant matching Veo 3.1 Fast speeds at half the cost, now in paid preview via the Gemini API—while simultaneously launching Gemma 4 open models on April 2. Market-implied odds reflect speculation of a Veo 4 debut at Google I/O on May 19-20, per historical patterns like Veo 3's 2025 reveal, amid OpenAI's Sora shutdown creating openings. Benchmarks like pseudonymous HappyHorse-1.0 add intrigue but remain unconfirmed, with resolution hinging on general public availability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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