Quarterfinal second legs on April 14-15 hold the key to determining UEFA Champions League semi-finalists, with trader sentiment shaped by first-leg results last week: Bayern München holds a 2-1 edge over Real Madrid after Harry Kane and Luis Díaz strikes at the Bernabéu, Arsenal leads 1-0 from Sporting CP courtesy of a late Kai Havertz goal, Paris Saint-Germain dominates Liverpool 2-0 via Désiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Atlético Madrid shocks Barcelona 2-0 away. Home advantage favors advancing leaders Bayern and Arsenal in return legs, while PSG faces a stern Anfield test and Atlético defends at the Metropolitano. Real Madrid contends with Kylian Mbappé injury doubts and Thibaut Courtois sidelined, alongside Bayern's minor hamstring issues, heightening comeback potential amid tight aggregate scores.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$49,173 Vol.

Arsenal
60%

Bayern München
53%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
40%

Atlético Madrid
25%

Barcelona
15%

Real Madrid
8%

Liverpool
5%

Sporting CP
2%
$49,173 Vol.

Arsenal
60%

Bayern München
53%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
40%

Atlético Madrid
25%

Barcelona
15%

Real Madrid
8%

Liverpool
5%

Sporting CP
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Quarterfinal second legs on April 14-15 hold the key to determining UEFA Champions League semi-finalists, with trader sentiment shaped by first-leg results last week: Bayern München holds a 2-1 edge over Real Madrid after Harry Kane and Luis Díaz strikes at the Bernabéu, Arsenal leads 1-0 from Sporting CP courtesy of a late Kai Havertz goal, Paris Saint-Germain dominates Liverpool 2-0 via Désiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Atlético Madrid shocks Barcelona 2-0 away. Home advantage favors advancing leaders Bayern and Arsenal in return legs, while PSG faces a stern Anfield test and Atlético defends at the Metropolitano. Real Madrid contends with Kylian Mbappé injury doubts and Thibaut Courtois sidelined, alongside Bayern's minor hamstring issues, heightening comeback potential amid tight aggregate scores.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions