Bayern München holds a 2-1 aggregate lead from their first-leg victory at Real Madrid CF, where Harry Kane returned from injury to score and assist Luis Díaz's opener, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for a home win in this Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Bayern's unbeaten run in 13 matches (11 wins) continued with a 5-0 Bundesliga rout of St. Pauli on April 11, bolstered by perfect home form in Europe this season (averaging 3.2 goals). Real Madrid drew 1-1 with Girona midweek, hampered by Thibaut Courtois' thigh absence (Andriy Lunin starts), Rodrygo's knee injury, Aurélien Tchouaméni's suspension, and Ferland Mendy's fitness doubts, tempering comeback hopes despite Kylian Mbappé's threat. A draw (17.5%) suits Bayern's advancement path, while Real's 21.5% reflects upset potential in a high-stakes tie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern München holds a 2-1 aggregate lead from their first-leg victory at Real Madrid CF, where Harry Kane returned from injury to score and assist Luis Díaz's opener, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for a home win in this Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Bayern's unbeaten run in 13 matches (11 wins) continued with a 5-0 Bundesliga rout of St. Pauli on April 11, bolstered by perfect home form in Europe this season (averaging 3.2 goals). Real Madrid drew 1-1 with Girona midweek, hampered by Thibaut Courtois' thigh absence (Andriy Lunin starts), Rodrygo's knee injury, Aurélien Tchouaméni's suspension, and Ferland Mendy's fitness doubts, tempering comeback hopes despite Kylian Mbappé's threat. A draw (17.5%) suits Bayern's advancement path, while Real's 21.5% reflects upset potential in a high-stakes tie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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