Alianza Lima holds a slim trader consensus edge at 37% implied probability over AD Tarma (30.5%) and draw (32%) ahead of their Liga 1 Apertura clash at Tarma's high-altitude Estadio Jonah Lomu, where home advantage has historically neutralized visiting sides in tight head-to-heads—three wins apiece and three draws in eight meetings, including Alianza's 3-1 win last August and Tarma's 3-0 upset in March 2025. Alianza's strong form (six wins, two draws, one loss in nine league games; recent L-W-D-W-W) and second-place standing contrast Tarma's 14th position and mixed results (L-D-W-L-D), but Tarma's suspensions for Carlos Cabello and Aylton Mazzo add uncertainty, while altitude acclimation and Alianza's potential rotation keep probabilities bunched in this evenly matched fixture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf AD Tarma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://liga1.pe/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If AD Tarma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://liga1.pe/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alianza Lima holds a slim trader consensus edge at 37% implied probability over AD Tarma (30.5%) and draw (32%) ahead of their Liga 1 Apertura clash at Tarma's high-altitude Estadio Jonah Lomu, where home advantage has historically neutralized visiting sides in tight head-to-heads—three wins apiece and three draws in eight meetings, including Alianza's 3-1 win last August and Tarma's 3-0 upset in March 2025. Alianza's strong form (six wins, two draws, one loss in nine league games; recent L-W-D-W-W) and second-place standing contrast Tarma's 14th position and mixed results (L-D-W-L-D), but Tarma's suspensions for Carlos Cabello and Aylton Mazzo add uncertainty, while altitude acclimation and Alianza's potential rotation keep probabilities bunched in this evenly matched fixture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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