Market icon

# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?

Market icon

# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?

14m-15m 76%

15m+ 21%

13m-14m <1%

<11m <1%

Polymarket

$66,069 Vol.

14m-15m 76%

15m+ 21%

13m-14m <1%

<11m <1%

Polymarket

$66,069 Vol.

<11m

$4,806 Vol.

<1%

11m-12m

$2,641 Vol.

<1%

12m-13m

$11,775 Vol.

<1%

13m-14m

$21,356 Vol.

<1%

14m-15m

$2,613 Vol.

76%

15m+

$23,125 Vol.

21%

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video reaching 14m-15m YouTube views in its first week (75.5% implied probability), driven by its explosive launch on April 6—1.7 million views in the first four hours—fueled by star cameos from Margaret Qualley and Madelyn Cline, Carpenter's directorial debut, and her announcement post's 32 million impressions. Sustained buzz from Rolling Stone and BuzzFeed coverage, plus her Coachella 2026 headline performance over the weekend, has propelled the tally to nearly 14 million as of April 13, though growth has slowed after the initial surge. The 25% on 15m+ reflects potential late-week streaming lift, while lower buckets see negligible support amid her proven viral track record like "Tears" at 73 million lifetime. Resolution hinges on final hours of week one.

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$66,069
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video reaching 14m-15m YouTube views in its first week (75.5% implied probability), driven by its explosive launch on April 6—1.7 million views in the first four hours—fueled by star cameos from Margaret Qualley and Madelyn Cline, Carpenter's directorial debut, and her announcement post's 32 million impressions. Sustained buzz from Rolling Stone and BuzzFeed coverage, plus her Coachella 2026 headline performance over the weekend, has propelled the tally to nearly 14 million as of April 13, though growth has slowed after the initial surge. The 25% on 15m+ reflects potential late-week streaming lift, while lower buckets see negligible support amid her proven viral track record like "Tears" at 73 million lifetime. Resolution hinges on final hours of week one.

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$66,069
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14m-15m" at 76%, followed by "15m+" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" has generated $66.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" is "14m-15m" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15m+" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.