Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video reaching 14m-15m YouTube views in its first week (75.5% implied probability), driven by its explosive launch on April 6—1.7 million views in the first four hours—fueled by star cameos from Margaret Qualley and Madelyn Cline, Carpenter's directorial debut, and her announcement post's 32 million impressions. Sustained buzz from Rolling Stone and BuzzFeed coverage, plus her Coachella 2026 headline performance over the weekend, has propelled the tally to nearly 14 million as of April 13, though growth has slowed after the initial surge. The 25% on 15m+ reflects potential late-week streaming lift, while lower buckets see negligible support amid her proven viral track record like "Tears" at 73 million lifetime. Resolution hinges on final hours of week one.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?
# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?
14m-15m 76%
15m+ 21%
13m-14m <1%
<11m <1%
$66,069 Vol.
$66,069 Vol.
<11m
<1%
11m-12m
<1%
12m-13m
<1%
13m-14m
<1%
14m-15m
76%
15m+
21%
14m-15m 76%
15m+ 21%
13m-14m <1%
<11m <1%
$66,069 Vol.
$66,069 Vol.
<11m
<1%
11m-12m
<1%
12m-13m
<1%
13m-14m
<1%
14m-15m
76%
15m+
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video reaching 14m-15m YouTube views in its first week (75.5% implied probability), driven by its explosive launch on April 6—1.7 million views in the first four hours—fueled by star cameos from Margaret Qualley and Madelyn Cline, Carpenter's directorial debut, and her announcement post's 32 million impressions. Sustained buzz from Rolling Stone and BuzzFeed coverage, plus her Coachella 2026 headline performance over the weekend, has propelled the tally to nearly 14 million as of April 13, though growth has slowed after the initial surge. The 25% on 15m+ reflects potential late-week streaming lift, while lower buckets see negligible support amid her proven viral track record like "Tears" at 73 million lifetime. Resolution hinges on final hours of week one.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions