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Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

Market icon

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

200k-225k 7%

<125k 6%

150k-175k 5.0%

125k-150k 4%

Polymarket
NEW

200k-225k 7%

<125k 6%

150k-175k 5.0%

125k-150k 4%

Polymarket
NEW

<125k

$84 Vol.

6%

125k-150k

$129 Vol.

4%

150k-175k

$135 Vol.

5%

175k-200k

$146 Vol.

4%

200k-225k

$135 Vol.

7%

225k-250k

$100 Vol.

42%

250k+

$247 Vol.

51%

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 250k+ (48.5%) and 225k-250k (45.0%) first-week album units for Noah Kahan's The Great Divide, reflecting strong but uncertain momentum from its blockbuster title track, which debuted at No. 6 on the Billboard Hot 100, topped Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, hit No. 1 on Alternative Airplay in record speed, and racked up over 93 million Spotify streams. Kahan's sold-out Great Divide Tour—over 1 million tickets moved—signals rabid fan demand and robust pre-order activity via exclusive vinyl bundles, building on Stick Season's long-tail success after a modest debut. Key swing factors include streaming carryover, pure sales from promo editions, and competition during the April 24 release week, with HITS Daily Double tracking updates poised to sharpen odds ahead of Billboard chart lock.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$976
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 250k+ (48.5%) and 225k-250k (45.0%) first-week album units for Noah Kahan's The Great Divide, reflecting strong but uncertain momentum from its blockbuster title track, which debuted at No. 6 on the Billboard Hot 100, topped Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, hit No. 1 on Alternative Airplay in record speed, and racked up over 93 million Spotify streams. Kahan's sold-out Great Divide Tour—over 1 million tickets moved—signals rabid fan demand and robust pre-order activity via exclusive vinyl bundles, building on Stick Season's long-tail success after a modest debut. Key swing factors include streaming carryover, pure sales from promo editions, and competition during the April 24 release week, with HITS Daily Double tracking updates poised to sharpen odds ahead of Billboard chart lock.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$976
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "250k+" at 51%, followed by "225k-250k" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" is "250k+" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "225k-250k" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.