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Sports·NBA

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals

Market icon
Sports·NBA

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals

NEW
May 24, 2026
Polymarket

$1 Vol.

Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder

$1 Vol.

78%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

50%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

50%

Orlando Magic

$0 Vol.

50%

Boston Celtics

$0 Vol.

48%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$0 Vol.

40%

Denver Nuggets

$0 Vol.

40%

New York Knicks

$0 Vol.

35%

Detroit Pistons

$0 Vol.

28%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

23%

Houston Rockets

$0 Vol.

22%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

22%

Atlanta Hawks

$0 Vol.

12%

Toronto Raptors

$0 Vol.

12%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

12%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

12%

Los Angeles Lakers

$0 Vol.

12%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

9%

Los Angeles Clippers

$0 Vol.

9%

Golden State Warriors

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the 2026 NBA playoffs approach with play-in games starting April 14-17 and first-round action on April 18, trader consensus favors top seeds to navigate conference semifinals and advance to conference finals around late May. In the Eastern Conference, Detroit Pistons clinched the No. 1 seed for full home-court advantage, followed by Boston Celtics (No. 2), New York Knicks (No. 3), and Cleveland Cavaliers (No. 4), with play-in outcomes determining Nos. 7-8 opponents. Western Conference leaders include Oklahoma City Thunder (No. 1), Denver Nuggets (No. 3), and Minnesota Timberwolves (No. 6 matchup). Key factors include rest advantages for high seeds, final regular-season injury reports, historical playoff upsets, and potential rematch dynamics from late-season games.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1
End Date
May 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the 2026 NBA playoffs approach with play-in games starting April 14-17 and first-round action on April 18, trader consensus favors top seeds to navigate conference semifinals and advance to conference finals around late May. In the Eastern Conference, Detroit Pistons clinched the No. 1 seed for full home-court advantage, followed by Boston Celtics (No. 2), New York Knicks (No. 3), and Cleveland Cavaliers (No. 4), with play-in outcomes determining Nos. 7-8 opponents. Western Conference leaders include Oklahoma City Thunder (No. 1), Denver Nuggets (No. 3), and Minnesota Timberwolves (No. 6 matchup). Key factors include rest advantages for high seeds, final regular-season injury reports, historical playoff upsets, and potential rematch dynamics from late-season games.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1
End Date
May 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

84%
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Will Boston Celtics advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

51%
Market icon

Will Phoenix Suns advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?

74%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 79%, followed by "Portland Trail Blazers" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Portland Trail Blazers" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.