Market icon
Sports·Basketball

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance in Play-In tournament

Market icon
Sports·Basketball

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance in Play-In tournament

NEW
Apr 18, 2026
Polymarket

$25 Vol.

Polymarket

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

75%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

75%

Orlando Magic

$0 Vol.

75%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

74%

Los Angeles Clippers

$25 Vol.

26%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

50%

Golden State Warriors

$0 Vol.

26%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Play-In Tournament have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2025-26 NBA regular season wrapped April 12, locking Play-In Tournament seeds and fueling trader consensus around single-game elimination matchups starting April 14. Eastern Conference features No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers hosting No. 8 Orlando Magic for the 7th seed—76ers' edge tempered by Joel Embiid's ongoing recovery from appendectomy—while No. 9 Charlotte Hornets host No. 10 Miami Heat. West pits No. 7 Phoenix Suns against No. 8 Portland Trail Blazers. Recent final-week surges, like Hornets' late push and Suns' home dominance, shape implied probabilities alongside home-court advantages, key injuries, and historical Play-In volatility where upsets via hot shooting or defensive stands often decide advancement to face top seeds like Detroit Pistons or Oklahoma City Thunder.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Play-In Tournament have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25
End Date
Apr 18, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Play-In Tournament have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Play-In Tournament have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2025-26 NBA regular season wrapped April 12, locking Play-In Tournament seeds and fueling trader consensus around single-game elimination matchups starting April 14. Eastern Conference features No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers hosting No. 8 Orlando Magic for the 7th seed—76ers' edge tempered by Joel Embiid's ongoing recovery from appendectomy—while No. 9 Charlotte Hornets host No. 10 Miami Heat. West pits No. 7 Phoenix Suns against No. 8 Portland Trail Blazers. Recent final-week surges, like Hornets' late push and Suns' home dominance, shape implied probabilities alongside home-court advantages, key injuries, and historical Play-In volatility where upsets via hot shooting or defensive stands often decide advancement to face top seeds like Detroit Pistons or Oklahoma City Thunder.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Play-In Tournament have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25
End Date
Apr 18, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs by advancing through the Play-In Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Play-In Tournament have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

51%
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Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

80%
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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance in Play-In tournament" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Phoenix Suns" at 75%, followed by "Portland Trail Blazers" at 75%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance in Play-In tournament" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance in Play-In tournament," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance in Play-In tournament" is "Phoenix Suns" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Portland Trail Blazers" at 75%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance in Play-In tournament" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.