Market icon
Sports·NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

Market icon
Sports·NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

NEW
May 3, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Cleveland Cavaliers

$0 Vol.

89%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$0 Vol.

84%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

84%

Denver Nuggets

$0 Vol.

76%

Houston Rockets

$0 Vol.

74%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

50%

Golden State Warriors

$0 Vol.

50%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

50%

Atlanta Hawks

$0 Vol.

50%

Detroit Pistons

$0 Vol.

50%

Orlando Magic

$0 Vol.

50%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

50%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

50%

New York Knicks

$0 Vol.

49%

Boston Celtics

$0 Vol.

49%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

35%

Toronto Raptors

$0 Vol.

17%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

16%

Los Angeles Lakers

$0 Vol.

14%

Los Angeles Clippers

$0 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2025-26 NBA regular season concluding April 12, the playoff bracket is locked, pitting New York Knicks against Atlanta Hawks, Cleveland Cavaliers versus Toronto Raptors in the East, and Denver Nuggets facing Minnesota Timberwolves plus Los Angeles Lakers versus Houston Rockets in the West for spots in the conference semifinals. Higher seeds enjoy home-court advantage in best-of-seven series, amplified by late surges like the Knicks' defensive clampdowns and Nuggets' Nikola Jokić-led dominance. Play-In Tournament outcomes from April 14-17 will seed challengers to top teams Detroit Pistons, Boston Celtics, Oklahoma City Thunder, and San Antonio Spurs, amid key returns such as Cade Cunningham for Detroit and lingering injury watches on stars like Anthony Edwards. Momentum, matchups, and rest advantages shape trader consensus on these tightly contested first-round battles.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2025-26 NBA regular season concluding April 12, the playoff bracket is locked, pitting New York Knicks against Atlanta Hawks, Cleveland Cavaliers versus Toronto Raptors in the East, and Denver Nuggets facing Minnesota Timberwolves plus Los Angeles Lakers versus Houston Rockets in the West for spots in the conference semifinals. Higher seeds enjoy home-court advantage in best-of-seven series, amplified by late surges like the Knicks' defensive clampdowns and Nuggets' Nikola Jokić-led dominance. Play-In Tournament outcomes from April 14-17 will seed challengers to top teams Detroit Pistons, Boston Celtics, Oklahoma City Thunder, and San Antonio Spurs, amid key returns such as Cade Cunningham for Detroit and lingering injury watches on stars like Anthony Edwards. Momentum, matchups, and rest advantages shape trader consensus on these tightly contested first-round battles.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

79%
Market icon

Will Miami Heat advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

53%
Market icon

Will Phoenix Suns advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?

75%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 89%, followed by "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 84%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 84%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.