Keldon Johnson's 87.3% implied probability as NBA Sixth Man of the Year favorite reflects his league-leading bench production, highlighted by becoming the first Spurs player to score 1,000 points off the bench this 2025-26 season on 13.1 points and 5.4 rebounds per game with elite 62.5% true shooting efficiency across 80 appearances. Surging past Miami's Jaime Jaquez Jr. as the consensus sportsbook frontrunner in early April—amid San Antonio's push for a top Western Conference seed—has locked in trader sentiment via the wisdom of crowds. While Reed Sheppard, Naz Reid, or Jaquez could challenge via final-week heroics or voter narrative favoring Heat momentum, Johnson's milestone consistency presents significant barriers to an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKeldon Johnson 85.3%
Reed Sheppard 1.6%
Obi Toppin 1.4%
Jonathan Kuminga 1.1%
$300,081 Vol.
$300,081 Vol.
Keldon Johnson
85%
Reed Sheppard
2%
Obi Toppin
1%
Jonathan Kuminga
1%
DeAndre Hunter
1%
Payton Pritchard
1%
Zacharie Risacher
1%
Anfernee Simons
1%
Gradey Dick
1%
Naz Reid
1%
Jared McCain
<1%
Jerami Grant
<1%
Norman Powell
<1%
Onyeka Okongwu
<1%
Santi Aldama
<1%
Jordan Clarkson
<1%
Nikola Jovic
<1%
Tari Eason
<1%
Collin Sexton
<1%
John Collins
<1%
Donte DiVincenzo
<1%
Miles McBride
<1%
Bobby Portis
<1%
Aaron Wiggins
<1%
P.J. Washington
<1%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
<1%
Ty Jerome
<1%
Caris LeVert
<1%
T.J. McConnell
<1%
Bradley Beal
<1%
Keldon Johnson 85.3%
Reed Sheppard 1.6%
Obi Toppin 1.4%
Jonathan Kuminga 1.1%
$300,081 Vol.
$300,081 Vol.
Keldon Johnson
85%
Reed Sheppard
2%
Obi Toppin
1%
Jonathan Kuminga
1%
DeAndre Hunter
1%
Payton Pritchard
1%
Zacharie Risacher
1%
Anfernee Simons
1%
Gradey Dick
1%
Naz Reid
1%
Jared McCain
<1%
Jerami Grant
<1%
Norman Powell
<1%
Onyeka Okongwu
<1%
Santi Aldama
<1%
Jordan Clarkson
<1%
Nikola Jovic
<1%
Tari Eason
<1%
Collin Sexton
<1%
John Collins
<1%
Donte DiVincenzo
<1%
Miles McBride
<1%
Bobby Portis
<1%
Aaron Wiggins
<1%
P.J. Washington
<1%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
<1%
Ty Jerome
<1%
Caris LeVert
<1%
T.J. McConnell
<1%
Bradley Beal
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keldon Johnson's 87.3% implied probability as NBA Sixth Man of the Year favorite reflects his league-leading bench production, highlighted by becoming the first Spurs player to score 1,000 points off the bench this 2025-26 season on 13.1 points and 5.4 rebounds per game with elite 62.5% true shooting efficiency across 80 appearances. Surging past Miami's Jaime Jaquez Jr. as the consensus sportsbook frontrunner in early April—amid San Antonio's push for a top Western Conference seed—has locked in trader sentiment via the wisdom of crowds. While Reed Sheppard, Naz Reid, or Jaquez could challenge via final-week heroics or voter narrative favoring Heat momentum, Johnson's milestone consistency presents significant barriers to an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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