Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in a tight race between the $4,600-$5,000 (20.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (18.4%) bins, reflecting uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate cut expectations amid persistent inflation pressures. Gold's recent retreat from $4,800 spot highs—June futures now at $4,736 following a 0.8% daily drop—stems from hotter-than-expected March 2026 CPI data signaling fewer basis-point easings, bolstering the U.S. dollar and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%. Easing geopolitical tensions, including a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, have curbed safe-haven demand, though central bank buying provides a floor. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI (May 15) and May FOMC (May 7), with any dovish pivot potentially lifting odds toward higher bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,600-$5,000 21%
$4,200-$4,600 18.3%
$5,000-$5,400 15.8%
$3,800-$4,200 12.5%
$879,213 Vol.
$879,213 Vol.
<$3,800
8%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
18%
$4,600-$5,000
21%
$5,000-$5,400
16%
$5,400-$5,800
12%
$5,800-$6,200
8%
>$6,200
6%
$4,600-$5,000 21%
$4,200-$4,600 18.3%
$5,000-$5,400 15.8%
$3,800-$4,200 12.5%
$879,213 Vol.
$879,213 Vol.
<$3,800
8%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
18%
$4,600-$5,000
21%
$5,000-$5,400
16%
$5,400-$5,800
12%
$5,800-$6,200
8%
>$6,200
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in a tight race between the $4,600-$5,000 (20.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (18.4%) bins, reflecting uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate cut expectations amid persistent inflation pressures. Gold's recent retreat from $4,800 spot highs—June futures now at $4,736 following a 0.8% daily drop—stems from hotter-than-expected March 2026 CPI data signaling fewer basis-point easings, bolstering the U.S. dollar and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%. Easing geopolitical tensions, including a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, have curbed safe-haven demand, though central bank buying provides a floor. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI (May 15) and May FOMC (May 7), with any dovish pivot potentially lifting odds toward higher bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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