WTI crude oil futures have surged above $100 per barrel amid escalating Middle East geopolitical risks, including U.S. threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade and Saudi production cuts of around 600,000 barrels per day from facility attacks, embedding a substantial risk premium despite a 3.1 million barrel U.S. inventory build reported by EIA for the week ending April 3. Trader consensus prices in sustained upside potential, buoyed by OPEC's forecast of 1.4 million bpd global demand growth in 2026 and reduced U.S. drilling activity. Key catalysts this week include Wednesday's EIA inventory release and ongoing U.S.-Iran talks, which could amplify volatility around supply disruption fears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $130
25%
↑ $125
50%
↑ $120
55%
↑ $115
56%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $100
100%
↓ $95
47%
↓ $90
48%
↓ $85
46%
↓ $80
26%
↓ $75
48%
↓ $70
21%
↓ $65
1%
$1,399 Vol.
↑ $130
25%
↑ $125
50%
↑ $120
55%
↑ $115
56%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $100
100%
↓ $95
47%
↓ $90
48%
↓ $85
46%
↓ $80
26%
↓ $75
48%
↓ $70
21%
↓ $65
1%
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIK6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIK6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIK6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIK6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have surged above $100 per barrel amid escalating Middle East geopolitical risks, including U.S. threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade and Saudi production cuts of around 600,000 barrels per day from facility attacks, embedding a substantial risk premium despite a 3.1 million barrel U.S. inventory build reported by EIA for the week ending April 3. Trader consensus prices in sustained upside potential, buoyed by OPEC's forecast of 1.4 million bpd global demand growth in 2026 and reduced U.S. drilling activity. Key catalysts this week include Wednesday's EIA inventory release and ongoing U.S.-Iran talks, which could amplify volatility around supply disruption fears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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