Mercedes commands a 45-point Constructors' Championship lead at 135 points after five early 2026 Grands Prix, propelled by Kimi Antonelli's back-to-back wins and George Russell's consistent podiums that place the duo first and second in drivers' standings. This resurgence under new power unit regulations has traders pricing Mercedes at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior race pace, reliability, and strategy. Ferrari holds second at 90 points with Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton delivering solid results but struggling to match Mercedes' outright speed. McLaren trails at 46 points amid inconsistent form from reigning drivers' champion Lando Norris, while Red Bull's dismal 16 points—behind even Haas—signal ongoing adaptation woes, relegating them to 1.2% consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 77%
Ferrari 13%
McLaren 6.9%
Red Bull Racing 1.2%
$11,533,870 Vol.
$11,533,870 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 13%
McLaren 6.9%
Red Bull Racing 1.2%
$11,533,870 Vol.
$11,533,870 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes commands a 45-point Constructors' Championship lead at 135 points after five early 2026 Grands Prix, propelled by Kimi Antonelli's back-to-back wins and George Russell's consistent podiums that place the duo first and second in drivers' standings. This resurgence under new power unit regulations has traders pricing Mercedes at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior race pace, reliability, and strategy. Ferrari holds second at 90 points with Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton delivering solid results but struggling to match Mercedes' outright speed. McLaren trails at 46 points amid inconsistent form from reigning drivers' champion Lando Norris, while Red Bull's dismal 16 points—behind even Haas—signal ongoing adaptation woes, relegating them to 1.2% consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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