Trader consensus on F1 Action of the Year remains tightly bunched atop the market, with Max Verstappen's implied 32.5% probability edging Kimi Antonelli at 30% and Lewis Hamilton at 27.5%, reflecting the 2026 regulations' active aero overtake modes sparking unprecedented on-track action—Australia saw 120 overtakes versus 45 last year. Antonelli's dominant Japanese GP victory and China win highlight his bold rookie charges from midfield, while Hamilton's recovery drives through Bahrain, China, and Japan delivered clean passes without DRS reliance, leveraging Ferrari's straightline speed. Verstappen's aggressive defenses and opportunistic moves persist despite Red Bull's early struggles, as Colapinto's midfield scraps add competitive depth amid frequent position swaps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 30%
Max Verstappen 25%
Valtteri Bottas 17.6%
Charles Leclerc 14%
Kimi Antonelli
30%
Max Verstappen
33%
Valtteri Bottas
18%
Charles Leclerc
14%
George Russell
14%
Lewis Hamilton
28%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
9%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
14%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
14%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Nico Hulkenberg
18%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
18%
Sergio Perez
18%
Lance Stroll
18%
Kimi Antonelli 30%
Max Verstappen 25%
Valtteri Bottas 17.6%
Charles Leclerc 14%
Kimi Antonelli
30%
Max Verstappen
33%
Valtteri Bottas
18%
Charles Leclerc
14%
George Russell
14%
Lewis Hamilton
28%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
9%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
14%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
14%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Nico Hulkenberg
18%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
18%
Sergio Perez
18%
Lance Stroll
18%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on F1 Action of the Year remains tightly bunched atop the market, with Max Verstappen's implied 32.5% probability edging Kimi Antonelli at 30% and Lewis Hamilton at 27.5%, reflecting the 2026 regulations' active aero overtake modes sparking unprecedented on-track action—Australia saw 120 overtakes versus 45 last year. Antonelli's dominant Japanese GP victory and China win highlight his bold rookie charges from midfield, while Hamilton's recovery drives through Bahrain, China, and Japan delivered clean passes without DRS reliance, leveraging Ferrari's straightline speed. Verstappen's aggressive defenses and opportunistic moves persist despite Red Bull's early struggles, as Colapinto's midfield scraps add competitive depth amid frequent position swaps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions